$NET · 海外大V持仓追踪

$NET 现在是什么情况？

最近有人说了 $NET 什么？

下面是最近 6 条提及 $NET 的公开帖，按时间倒序。每条都附原帖链接，可自行核对。

• 2026-02-27中性原文
  The "AI is Disrupting Software but Not Really" Bucket. Here's my personal list of favorites: $RDDT ($149, -37.47% YTD): 10/10 $NFLX ($84.61, -30.85% 6M): 9/10 $NET ($169.5, -13.55% YTD): 10/10 $SPOT ($488, -15.2% YTD): 9/10 $SNAP ($5.13, -38.1% YTD): 10/10 $DUOL ($85.3, -60.92% YTD): 6/10 $PINS ($17.5, -34% YTD): 8/10 $U ($18.83, -59.3% YTD): 8/10 $FIG ($28.93, -23.65% YTD): 7/10 Reddit - 10/10: You can vibe code Reddit in a day with Opus. But the main thing is "Network Effect" that you can't replicate. You can ask ChatGPT or Gemini a question, but main thing is the type league of legends post-match discussions or human discourse that people use reddit for. Netflix - 9/10: You go to Netflix for squid games and others. I'm sure AI will help with generation of new viral movies or TV shows, but you will still use Netflix or Youtube to watch it. People are still going to watch licensed Anime like Solo Leveling or the newest Alice in Borderlands show over AI generated contnet. Cloudflare 10/10: I don't see how AI would disrupt Cloudflare. Spotify - 9/10: Biggest disruption is Apple Music just not charging for services (which likely won't happen). There's AI generating music but like Youtube, you use Spotify to listen to it. You can try and vibe code Spotify sure, but a large part of it is licenses. AI generated music will not go out and replace Martin Garrix EDM soundtracks (where a large part of it is knowing the song -> going to music festivals in person) or Taylor Swift Love Story type songs (where you also go in person to see concerts). Snapchat - 10/10: Same with network effect only reason it works is because everyone agrees to use it. Their issue is with monetization and excessive stock based compensation, not AI disruption. Duolingo - 6/10: I made fun of Duolingo for the longest time, but it's decent valuation again after the selloff to $86. Yes you can learn languages through Gemini, which I do myself. But most people are still going use Duolingo as more of a motivational tool. There's name recognition too + convenience, which is the biggest factor. People can vibe code their own Duolingo but that doesn't mean people will use it on the app store or go out and code it themselves. Pinterest - 8/10 - It's human related taste. People are fearing agentic commerce and generative AI (Midjourney, DALL-E) will disrupt this type of search, which people don't really use Pinterest for. Unity - 8/10: Everyone uses Unity for 4D AI and World Models. People fear stuff regarding generative gaming, but it's still widely used. Their main issue is monetization from AI usage, not disruption. Figma - 7/10: AI is right now is mainly for porting your figma files over to html/css/js. Not exactly for disrupting the need for the software. Maybe it's just me but there's a certain human element to design and creativity that AI can't emulate yet for wireframing (it's good at copying and doing something relatively new). I highly doubt AI can one-shot Tempo or $XYZ websites. For others like $V and Mastercard, I do genuinely believe interchange and % based fees maybe end as AI handles direct payment routing through $CRCL stablecoins. And for others like $CHGG, they have legitimately been disrupted out of existence already. For the rest like $RDDT and $NFLX, everyone will still go there for discussions or to watch Squid Games, and AI has no material disruptive effect. Going to be hard to time the bottom as fear has overtaken the market with software, but many, such as Reddit present a great opportunity.
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• 2025-12-14看多原文
  Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility, including all their enterprise users like Cursor or $NET. DCs in space is more near-term exploratory like quantum right now, not exactly widely commercializable and a source for compute yet. That being said I wouldn’t be surprised if $NBIS also owns a space company subsidiary given then already have self-driving car ones lol.
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• 2025-12-05中性原文
  A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8. Their claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0. Coreweave [ $CRWV ]: - Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI. - $1.8B in cash left - $1.3B+/yearly in debt interest from toxic financing at 8-10% interest. Same thing as Nebius right? Nebius [ $NBIS ]: - Highest diversification in the Neocloud market of customers from $META, $MSFT, governments, $SHOP, Mistral, $NOW, and many others. - $4.8B+ in cash left - ~$76.6M/yearly from note structure 40%+ OTM at ~2% interest. - FSD level 4 Robotaxi self driving car segment that is of critical importance to $UBER (last round $375M with $UBER) to compete vs Waymo. - AI training segments funded by Bezos and used by $AMZN, Anthropic, and others - 28% in subsidiary that most of the public companies from $TSLA, $NET, Tiktok, $META and so on use - 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y alongside their core operational business, with Tripleten/Toloka adding to net income every year. Same company.
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• 2025-11-24看多
  Nebius [ $NBIS ] 是目前最被低估的成长型公司。 而且在 $21B 市值下，它有潜力成为下一个 $GOOGL。原因很简单： 它的投资组合公司令人震撼。 这个概念最不可思议的例子是 $FTX。故事是这样的： 当我们回看 $META 如何成长为一家 $1T+ 公司时，靠的不只是 Facebook。是它的投资组合公司 Instagram、Whatsapp 等，让 Meta 主导了社交媒体格局。 $FTX 也在做类似的事情，但领域是数字资产和前沿技术。 四年前的 2021 年，$FTX 向一大篮子资产投资了 $5.8B。并把很大一部分投入了以下三家核心公司： 1. Anthropic，以 $2.5 Billion 估值持有 13.56%。 2. Robinhood [ $HOOD ]，以 $8.54B 估值持有 7.6% 3. Solana [ $SOL ]，41M+ 枚代币。 快进到今天，那将会是： · Anthropic 最新一轮融资估值为 $350B。那笔持股本可价值 ~$47.4B。 · Robinhood 现在价值超过 $100B。那笔持股将价值 ~$7.6B。 · Solana 现在每枚代币价值 $131.5，使得那笔持仓远超 $5.7B。 仅这三家公司就在 4 年时间里创造了远超 $55B+ 的价值，而这甚至还不包括 FTX 的数百亿美元 + 数百项其他投资 + 对 Chime、Layerzero、Aptos、Hidden Road（被 $COIN 收购）以及加密货币的持仓。 它们的投资组合公司比其核心业务存活得更久（想象一下，如果核心业务能像 $GOOGL 搜索与 Youtube 并行增长那样持续扩张，它会值多少钱）。 $NBIS 现在拥有与 $FTX 在加密货币领域、$META 在社交媒体领域相同的配置，但它是在人工智能领域，并且拥有一个合法且增长极其迅速的核心业务。 Nebius 拥有： 1. Clickhouse，以 ~$7B 估值持有 28%（$6.3 H1 2025） 2. Avride，以 ~$6B 估值持有 83%。（Uber 融资后） 3. Toloka AI，以 ~$640 million 估值持有 ~65% 4. TripleTen，以 ~$300m 估值持有 100%。 · Clickhouse 为 Anthropic、$META、$TSLA、$NET 以及许多财富 500 强公司提供支持。 · Avride 是一家自动驾驶出租车公司，从 Yandex 分拆出来，$UBER 在一轮 $375M 融资中投资了它，以与 Waymo 竞争。 · Toloka 是一个 AI 标注平台，Amazon、Microsoft、Anthropic 和 Shopify 都在使用。 $1.96B + $4.96B + $416M + $300m = $7.6B 的投资组合公司估值，而这些公司的增长速度快于大多数上市成长型公司。 但如果我们看它的核心业务，正以 700%+ Y/Y 的速度扩张至 $7-9B ARR，拥有 $4.8B 现金，并为 $META、$MSFT、Cursor、政府以及更多客户提供支持…… 在今天被纳入 MSCI、获得数亿美元到数十亿美元额外资金流入之前，这可能是它低于 $90 的最后一个月。如果我们看看 $IREN 或 $CIFR 这类热门标的，没有其他数据中心成长型公司拥有这种投资组合。 $NBIS 估值仅为 $21B，而市场正在错过这个机会。
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• 2025-11-18中性原文
  Markets are seeing a drop in most growth stocks right now. In the past 5 days: · Cloudflare [ $NET ]: $192.99 (-15.23%) · Rocketlab [ $RKLB ]: $42.50 (-19.35%) · Iren [ $IREN ]: $46.6 (-28.74%) · Hims [ $HIMS ]: $35.15 (-15.61%) have lost their recent gains. Why? Right now, we're seeing mechanical hedging downward, mixed with live cascading margin liquidations slightly mirroring the crypto markets. This is mixed with capitulation based on macro with semi-valid concerns from December rate cut odds, lack of data from Gov shutdown, and AI short reports from several hedge funds. The most important thing to note is that: This is despite improving fundamentals in many individual stocks. We've seen companies like: $NBIS raise ARR guidance from $7-9B from projected analyst $4B marks, and sell off 26.85% this week. and we've seen $SNAP lose any gain from post earnings, after blowout revenue guidance from a $400M surprise perplexity deal. At this point, we're nearing the bottom before the December Santa Rally, with institutions buying up leverage trader Bitcoin liquidations to quality stocks like $NBIS in dark pools/block trades. If forward growth and fundamentals were slowing, continued selling after this drop would be warranted. However, if fundamentals are in tact for many growth stock, this market-wide reset is the best buying opportunity for growth stocks from $KRKNF to $ALAB since the April tariff sell-off. As seen with Robinhood [ $HOOD ] data on popular retail stocks with $IREN, retail is heavily selling the bottom at $45-$50, but bought in at the top post $MSFT deal at $80. Retail is often the ones to chase buying at the top. But capitulate at the bottom after the drop. This is the great reset, but not a continued crash leading to a bear market. Stock post-margin liquidations and weak hands moving to long-term investors leads to new highs. That being said: what high-beta stock do you think is the most sold off right now?
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• 2025-10-13中性原文
  So people keep asking me about $RBRK almost every other post and I know it's really popular on X. I ended up looking into it so people stop asking (and added some Rubrik to my portfolio at $82). TLDR my own research: - Cybersecurity company (industry trades at extremely high multiples, look at $CRWD or $NET) - 80% gross margins (great) - $1B+ ARR, grew 40-50% Y/Y (great) (comparison to NET, ~2.2B+ ARR, growing 22% Y/Y, almost 5x the MC) - OpEx spend: 60-75% of revenue goes to marketing. This is a huge positive. OpEx marketing spend is great but it looks really bad short term eg. $HOOD when they give customers 3% to transfer, it hurts short term in earnings reports bc it's deceptive and not many people do the breakdown but long term when they cut back on spend, customers are sticky and this helps a lot with profitability. FCF was positive, but breakdown of opex expenses was mainly marketing, which is a good thing, unlike Snapchat google cloud opex. - Diversified client base like Cloudflare (eg. goldman, pepsi, accenture, etc). Downsides: - Balance sheet not the best, $1.1B debt or so to fund acquisitions. At least it's about acquisitions. - Don't like how their forward revenue numbers slowed down 20-25% compared to something like $NBIS growing like 700% or something more for next year. Obviously unfair comparison, but that's why I liked Neoclouds more. _ Looks like a good mid term hold with a pretty simple plan -> scale customer base -> scale back marketing + sticky base -> catch up to industry multiples in cybersecurity and hv higher FCF. Usually these types of growth companies with high gross margins (eg. $HOOD back at $18, growing ~50 y/y) that turn profitable, re-rate the hardest. $RBRK just gotta spend less on marketing down the road and suddenly they have a lot of fcf with their sticky customer base. TLDR: Great buy for cybersecurity sector, better opportunities elsewhere.
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